Verasight Politics Tracker, September 2023

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September 21 - September 26, 2023

1 Presidential Approval

Do you [approve/disapprove] or [disapprove/approve] of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? (N =701)
Response Percent
Strongly approve 17%
Somewhat approve 25%
Somewhat disapprove 13%
Strongly disapprove 39%
Not sure 6%

1.1 Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Strongly approve 6% 18% 15% 25%
Somewhat approve 32% 25% 24% 21%
Somewhat disapprove 16% 15% 13% 7%
Strongly disapprove 33% 34% 45% 45%
Not sure 13% 8% 2% 3%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Strongly approve 12% 11% 32% 39%
Somewhat approve 20% 25% 33% 37%
Somewhat disapprove 15% 14% 9% 8%
Strongly disapprove 41% 46% 23% 14%
Not sure 12% 5% 2% 2%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Strongly approve 20% 14% 0%
Somewhat approve 27% 24% 12%
Somewhat disapprove 10% 15% 51%
Strongly disapprove 40% 38% 37%
Not sure 3% 9% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Strongly approve 9% 12% 29%
Somewhat approve 17% 25% 35%
Somewhat disapprove 10% 18% 12%
Strongly disapprove 53% 40% 23%
Not sure 12% 6% 2%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Strongly approve 34% 4% 2%
Somewhat approve 45% 11% 9%
Somewhat disapprove 10% 19% 14%
Strongly disapprove 6% 40% 75%
Not sure 4% 26% 1%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Strongly approve 18% 26% 9% 11%
Somewhat approve 23% 31% 27% 29%
Somewhat disapprove 11% 15% 20% 7%
Strongly disapprove 44% 22% 29% 43%
Not sure 3% 7% 14% 10%


2 Favorability Ratings

Please rate your feelings toward each of the following people, terms, and organizations. Do you feel very favorable toward them, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable? If you have no opinion or have never heard of them, please select that option. [Respondents were shown a random subset of 10 terms to rate.]
Item Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable No opinion Never heard of
Congress 9% 24% 32% 22% 12% 1%
The Supreme Court 14% 27% 26% 20% 13% 1%
The Democratic Party 17% 26% 16% 31% 10% 1%
The Republican Party 19% 26% 15% 31% 9% 1%
Donald Trump 24% 17% 10% 43% 6% 0%
Joe Biden 19% 24% 12% 37% 7% 0%
Black Lives Matter 24% 22% 12% 31% 10% 1%
Make America Great Again 33% 19% 4% 34% 9% 1%
Meta 14% 28% 20% 13% 22% 4%
Google 34% 40% 10% 7% 8% 0%
Twitter 15% 19% 20% 25% 20% 1%
Mark Zuckerberg 13% 19% 22% 23% 22% 2%
Elon Musk 16% 21% 19% 24% 17% 3%
China 5% 10% 23% 40% 21% 1%
Disney 28% 28% 17% 18% 9%

2.1 Congress Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 6% 14% 7% 5%
Somewhat favorable 24% 29% 15% 26%
Somewhat unfavorable 31% 19% 37% 48%
Very unfavorable 18% 23% 28% 19%
No opinion 19% 14% 13% 2%
Never heard of 2% 1% 0% 0%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 7% 6% 15% 25%
Somewhat favorable 16% 29% 22% 35%
Somewhat unfavorable 29% 33% 38% 25%
Very unfavorable 26% 22% 19% 8%
No opinion 19% 10% 6% 7%
Never heard of 2% 0% 0% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 10% 8% 0%
Somewhat favorable 27% 22% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 34% 31% 43%
Very unfavorable 22% 22% 57%
No opinion 7% 17% 0%
Never heard of 1% 1% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 6% 7% 13%
Somewhat favorable 26% 15% 28%
Somewhat unfavorable 28% 35% 36%
Very unfavorable 19% 34% 17%
No opinion 20% 8% 5%
Never heard of 2% 0% 0%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 13% 1% 7%
Somewhat favorable 23% 16% 28%
Somewhat unfavorable 33% 33% 32%
Very unfavorable 21% 26% 23%
No opinion 10% 25% 9%
Never heard of 1% 0% 1%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 11% 8% 6% 0%
Somewhat favorable 19% 29% 25% 44%
Somewhat unfavorable 34% 32% 26% 33%
Very unfavorable 24% 18% 24% 14%
No opinion 11% 12% 17% 8%
Never heard of 0% 1% 2% 2%

2.2 The Supreme Court Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 7% 17% 11% 19%
Somewhat favorable 24% 27% 25% 30%
Somewhat unfavorable 24% 27% 28% 24%
Very unfavorable 25% 13% 19% 25%
No opinion 17% 14% 17% 2%
Never heard of 2% 1% 0% 0%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 10% 11% 32% 17%
Somewhat favorable 24% 28% 28% 28%
Somewhat unfavorable 22% 27% 26% 38%
Very unfavorable 18% 26% 9% 12%
No opinion 26% 8% 3% 5%
Never heard of 1% 0% 1% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 17% 11% 0%
Somewhat favorable 29% 25% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 28% 23% 100%
Very unfavorable 20% 20% 0%
No opinion 4% 21% 0%
Never heard of 0% 1% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 15% 13% 15%
Somewhat favorable 22% 34% 27%
Somewhat unfavorable 21% 29% 29%
Very unfavorable 19% 13% 25%
No opinion 22% 11% 4%
Never heard of 1% 0% 1%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 14% 4% 19%
Somewhat favorable 19% 23% 36%
Somewhat unfavorable 28% 24% 25%
Very unfavorable 31% 15% 10%
No opinion 8% 35% 8%
Never heard of 0% 0% 1%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 19% 7% 4% 11%
Somewhat favorable 23% 15% 37% 47%
Somewhat unfavorable 29% 42% 17% 7%
Very unfavorable 18% 16% 26% 26%
No opinion 11% 20% 14% 9%
Never heard of 0% 0% 2% 0%

2.3 The Democratic Party Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 9% 20% 17% 20%
Somewhat favorable 29% 28% 26% 19%
Somewhat unfavorable 17% 18% 14% 15%
Very unfavorable 22% 25% 37% 40%
No opinion 22% 8% 7% 4%
Never heard of 0% 1% 0% 2%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 10% 13% 37% 24%
Somewhat favorable 20% 28% 28% 41%
Somewhat unfavorable 16% 18% 10% 14%
Very unfavorable 31% 35% 21% 22%
No opinion 20% 7% 3% 0%
Never heard of 2% 0% 0% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 18% 15% 0%
Somewhat favorable 28% 25% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 15% 17% 0%
Very unfavorable 33% 28% 100%
No opinion 5% 14% 0%
Never heard of 1% 1% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 9% 10% 29%
Somewhat favorable 19% 29% 32%
Somewhat unfavorable 14% 17% 17%
Very unfavorable 40% 33% 19%
No opinion 16% 11% 2%
Never heard of 2% 0% 0%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 35% 3% 1%
Somewhat favorable 50% 8% 7%
Somewhat unfavorable 6% 30% 21%
Very unfavorable 3% 26% 63%
No opinion 5% 34% 6%
Never heard of 1% 0% 1%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 17% 20% 14% 18%
Somewhat favorable 25% 32% 25% 30%
Somewhat unfavorable 17% 10% 22% 7%
Very unfavorable 35% 23% 20% 36%
No opinion 7% 14% 19% 7%
Never heard of 1% 1% 0% 2%

2.4 The Republican Party Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 14% 19% 19% 24%
Somewhat favorable 30% 29% 22% 19%
Somewhat unfavorable 14% 17% 19% 9%
Very unfavorable 29% 23% 32% 42%
No opinion 11% 11% 9% 6%
Never heard of 2% 0% 0% 0%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 16% 23% 16% 21%
Somewhat favorable 16% 25% 36% 45%
Somewhat unfavorable 14% 19% 10% 4%
Very unfavorable 33% 28% 36% 28%
No opinion 19% 7% 2% 2%
Never heard of 2% 0% 0% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 16% 23% 0%
Somewhat favorable 33% 19% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 11% 18% 100%
Very unfavorable 33% 29% 0%
No opinion 7% 11% 0%
Never heard of 0% 1% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 31% 12% 14%
Somewhat favorable 17% 23% 35%
Somewhat unfavorable 11% 17% 17%
Very unfavorable 21% 40% 33%
No opinion 18% 9% 2%
Never heard of 2% 0% 0%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 7% 3% 42%
Somewhat favorable 16% 11% 44%
Somewhat unfavorable 15% 29% 9%
Very unfavorable 56% 24% 2%
No opinion 6% 33% 2%
Never heard of 0% 0% 1%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 23% 4% 21% 7%
Somewhat favorable 29% 20% 13% 37%
Somewhat unfavorable 15% 5% 25% 5%
Very unfavorable 28% 43% 28% 43%
No opinion 6% 25% 11% 7%
Never heard of 0% 1% 2% 0%

2.5 Donald Trump Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 15% 29% 24% 26%
Somewhat favorable 14% 24% 17% 9%
Somewhat unfavorable 14% 12% 7% 4%
Very unfavorable 46% 30% 47% 58%
No opinion 10% 6% 4% 3%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 25% 25% 26% 11%
Somewhat favorable 13% 16% 25% 27%
Somewhat unfavorable 6% 10% 10% 28%
Very unfavorable 45% 46% 38% 34%
No opinion 12% 4% 1% 0%
Never heard of 1% 0% 0% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 29% 19% 43%
Somewhat favorable 21% 13% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 10% 9% 0%
Very unfavorable 36% 50% 57%
No opinion 3% 8% 0%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 37% 22% 13%
Somewhat favorable 16% 15% 20%
Somewhat unfavorable 1% 6% 21%
Very unfavorable 37% 49% 45%
No opinion 8% 7% 2%
Never heard of 0% 1% 0%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 6% 8% 54%
Somewhat favorable 11% 18% 26%
Somewhat unfavorable 10% 11% 8%
Very unfavorable 70% 43% 9%
No opinion 3% 20% 3%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 26% 7% 23% 30%
Somewhat favorable 23% 13% 3% 11%
Somewhat unfavorable 9% 5% 12% 14%
Very unfavorable 37% 62% 55% 43%
No opinion 4% 13% 7% 2%
Never heard of 0% 1% 0% 0%

2.6 Joe Biden Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 13% 18% 14% 31%
Somewhat favorable 25% 24% 26% 22%
Somewhat unfavorable 20% 16% 7% 5%
Very unfavorable 32% 31% 46% 40%
No opinion 11% 10% 7% 2%
Never heard of 0% 1% 0% 0%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 11% 12% 41% 43%
Somewhat favorable 24% 24% 23% 30%
Somewhat unfavorable 12% 14% 4% 13%
Very unfavorable 39% 45% 24% 9%
No opinion 13% 5% 8% 0%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 5%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 23% 16% 0%
Somewhat favorable 25% 24% 100%
Somewhat unfavorable 12% 11% 0%
Very unfavorable 37% 37% 0%
No opinion 3% 11% 0%
Never heard of 0% 1% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 9% 10% 37%
Somewhat favorable 22% 26% 26%
Somewhat unfavorable 9% 18% 11%
Very unfavorable 48% 39% 24%
No opinion 11% 8% 2%
Never heard of 1% 0% 0%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 37% 7% 4%
Somewhat favorable 44% 14% 8%
Somewhat unfavorable 10% 20% 10%
Very unfavorable 4% 34% 75%
No opinion 5% 22% 3%
Never heard of 0% 3% 0%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 23% 20% 8% 16%
Somewhat favorable 21% 34% 29% 27%
Somewhat unfavorable 11% 12% 15% 13%
Very unfavorable 41% 19% 31% 40%
No opinion 5% 11% 16% 4%
Never heard of 0% 4% 0% 0%

2.7 Black Lives Matter Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 31% 33% 14% 17%
Somewhat favorable 11% 25% 26% 21%
Somewhat unfavorable 22% 9% 10% 11%
Very unfavorable 24% 19% 38% 48%
No opinion 12% 11% 11% 4%
Never heard of 0% 2% 1% 0%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 23% 17% 42% 33%
Somewhat favorable 19% 22% 24% 32%
Somewhat unfavorable 10% 13% 10% 20%
Very unfavorable 26% 42% 19% 7%
No opinion 20% 5% 5% 2%
Never heard of 1% 0% 0% 6%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 16% 31% 24%
Somewhat favorable 28% 16% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 15% 9% 0%
Very unfavorable 35% 27% 76%
No opinion 5% 14% 0%
Never heard of 0% 1% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 23% 20% 29%
Somewhat favorable 14% 27% 27%
Somewhat unfavorable 8% 12% 17%
Very unfavorable 39% 31% 22%
No opinion 14% 9% 5%
Never heard of 1% 1% 0%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 42% 12% 9%
Somewhat favorable 35% 12% 13%
Somewhat unfavorable 13% 14% 11%
Very unfavorable 4% 31% 60%
No opinion 5% 28% 7%
Never heard of 1% 3% 0%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 20% 50% 21% 20%
Somewhat favorable 24% 23% 12% 33%
Somewhat unfavorable 9% 10% 27% 8%
Very unfavorable 39% 4% 22% 30%
No opinion 8% 9% 18% 7%
Never heard of 0% 3% 1% 2%

2.8 Make America Great Again Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 30% 36% 35% 33%
Somewhat favorable 21% 22% 17% 13%
Somewhat unfavorable 2% 5% 3% 5%
Very unfavorable 36% 27% 33% 41%
No opinion 11% 9% 9% 6%
Never heard of 0% 1% 2% 2%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 32% 33% 36% 38%
Somewhat favorable 16% 18% 25% 13%
Somewhat unfavorable 3% 5% 1% 13%
Very unfavorable 30% 36% 33% 35%
No opinion 18% 6% 4% 2%
Never heard of 1% 2% 0% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 32% 35% 0%
Somewhat favorable 24% 13% 37%
Somewhat unfavorable 4% 4% 0%
Very unfavorable 33% 34% 63%
No opinion 6% 12% 0%
Never heard of 1% 1% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 39% 33% 28%
Somewhat favorable 16% 17% 23%
Somewhat unfavorable 1% 6% 7%
Very unfavorable 27% 35% 40%
No opinion 15% 8% 2%
Never heard of 2% 2% 0%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 17% 11% 61%
Somewhat favorable 13% 16% 26%
Somewhat unfavorable 4% 6% 4%
Very unfavorable 60% 35% 4%
No opinion 5% 31% 3%
Never heard of 1% 0% 2%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 35% 20% 30% 46%
Somewhat favorable 20% 16% 15% 19%
Somewhat unfavorable 6% 2% 2% 0%
Very unfavorable 31% 50% 37% 26%
No opinion 6% 12% 16% 7%
Never heard of 2% 0% 0% 2%

2.9 Meta Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 15% 23% 9% 2%
Somewhat favorable 18% 25% 29% 37%
Somewhat unfavorable 25% 18% 19% 19%
Very unfavorable 14% 11% 16% 13%
No opinion 22% 19% 24% 25%
Never heard of 7% 4% 3% 3%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 11% 5% 37% 37%
Somewhat favorable 29% 27% 26% 25%
Somewhat unfavorable 15% 27% 6% 22%
Very unfavorable 17% 12% 8% 12%
No opinion 22% 25% 18% 4%
Never heard of 5% 4% 5% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 16% 12% 0%
Somewhat favorable 29% 27% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 19% 21% 0%
Very unfavorable 14% 12% 88%
No opinion 22% 22% 12%
Never heard of 1% 7% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 11% 6% 24%
Somewhat favorable 23% 30% 30%
Somewhat unfavorable 22% 18% 18%
Very unfavorable 12% 14% 14%
No opinion 22% 32% 13%
Never heard of 9% 1% 1%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 19% 8% 9%
Somewhat favorable 31% 24% 25%
Somewhat unfavorable 20% 10% 24%
Very unfavorable 9% 15% 17%
No opinion 19% 39% 18%
Never heard of 2% 5% 7%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 15% 14% 13% 1%
Somewhat favorable 26% 28% 21% 53%
Somewhat unfavorable 20% 24% 14% 20%
Very unfavorable 14% 6% 18% 8%
No opinion 20% 28% 28% 17%
Never heard of 5% 0% 5% 2%

2.10 Google Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 33% 44% 30% 26%
Somewhat favorable 34% 35% 48% 43%
Somewhat unfavorable 19% 8% 9% 8%
Very unfavorable 3% 5% 5% 16%
No opinion 9% 8% 8% 7%
Never heard of 1% 0% 0% 0%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 34% 30% 41% 52%
Somewhat favorable 36% 41% 46% 33%
Somewhat unfavorable 11% 13% 4% 7%
Very unfavorable 6% 9% 7% 0%
No opinion 13% 7% 3% 4%
Never heard of 1% 0% 0% 4%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 30% 39% 0%
Somewhat favorable 44% 36% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 10% 10% 51%
Very unfavorable 8% 6% 37%
No opinion 8% 9% 12%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 41% 29% 32%
Somewhat favorable 34% 38% 47%
Somewhat unfavorable 8% 11% 12%
Very unfavorable 6% 12% 4%
No opinion 10% 10% 4%
Never heard of 0% 0% 1%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 40% 25% 31%
Somewhat favorable 46% 35% 35%
Somewhat unfavorable 5% 10% 17%
Very unfavorable 2% 10% 12%
No opinion 7% 19% 5%
Never heard of 1% 0% 0%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 37% 37% 31% 24%
Somewhat favorable 40% 41% 36% 40%
Somewhat unfavorable 10% 6% 13% 12%
Very unfavorable 5% 2% 8% 22%
No opinion 7% 15% 12% 1%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 1%

2.11 Twitter Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 17% 22% 8% 8%
Somewhat favorable 15% 22% 22% 14%
Somewhat unfavorable 27% 14% 23% 21%
Very unfavorable 20% 20% 27% 38%
No opinion 22% 21% 19% 17%
Never heard of 0% 1% 1% 2%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 10% 9% 37% 24%
Somewhat favorable 15% 21% 20% 22%
Somewhat unfavorable 16% 24% 17% 21%
Very unfavorable 26% 25% 24% 21%
No opinion 31% 20% 1% 12%
Never heard of 2% 1% 0% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 18% 12% 0%
Somewhat favorable 19% 20% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 20% 20% 63%
Very unfavorable 27% 23% 37%
No opinion 16% 24% 0%
Never heard of 1% 1% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 10% 9% 23%
Somewhat favorable 18% 16% 22%
Somewhat unfavorable 15% 24% 23%
Very unfavorable 28% 26% 22%
No opinion 28% 25% 9%
Never heard of 1% 0% 1%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 16% 11% 15%
Somewhat favorable 19% 7% 25%
Somewhat unfavorable 18% 21% 24%
Very unfavorable 30% 28% 17%
No opinion 17% 33% 18%
Never heard of 0% 0% 2%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 16% 16% 14% 6%
Somewhat favorable 18% 15% 23% 27%
Somewhat unfavorable 22% 11% 25% 18%
Very unfavorable 25% 25% 26% 22%
No opinion 18% 33% 12% 26%
Never heard of 1% 0% 0% 2%

2.12 Mark Zuckerberg Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 14% 22% 5% 4%
Somewhat favorable 12% 18% 19% 24%
Somewhat unfavorable 27% 19% 24% 23%
Very unfavorable 15% 24% 25% 26%
No opinion 33% 16% 27% 18%
Never heard of 0% 1% 0% 6%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 6% 5% 42% 28%
Somewhat favorable 14% 24% 15% 12%
Somewhat unfavorable 24% 18% 21% 40%
Very unfavorable 21% 30% 12% 7%
No opinion 31% 22% 10% 12%
Never heard of 2% 2% 0% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 16% 10% 0%
Somewhat favorable 26% 12% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 18% 27% 0%
Very unfavorable 27% 19% 100%
No opinion 14% 30% 0%
Never heard of 1% 3% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 6% 6% 24%
Somewhat favorable 14% 26% 17%
Somewhat unfavorable 23% 15% 26%
Very unfavorable 22% 32% 17%
No opinion 31% 20% 16%
Never heard of 4% 1% 0%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 21% 1% 8%
Somewhat favorable 25% 10% 15%
Somewhat unfavorable 22% 26% 20%
Very unfavorable 13% 25% 32%
No opinion 18% 37% 21%
Never heard of 1% 0% 3%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 14% 12% 11% 7%
Somewhat favorable 19% 14% 12% 35%
Somewhat unfavorable 22% 17% 32% 5%
Very unfavorable 21% 26% 26% 26%
No opinion 22% 29% 19% 26%
Never heard of 2% 1% 1% 1%

2.13 Elon Musk Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 13% 19% 11% 16%
Somewhat favorable 23% 24% 22% 15%
Somewhat unfavorable 15% 20% 24% 15%
Very unfavorable 28% 18% 26% 30%
No opinion 17% 17% 14% 18%
Never heard of 4% 2% 3% 5%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 8% 11% 37% 23%
Somewhat favorable 17% 26% 17% 17%
Somewhat unfavorable 17% 19% 21% 29%
Very unfavorable 29% 23% 19% 24%
No opinion 23% 18% 5% 7%
Never heard of 5% 4% 0% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 24% 8% 0%
Somewhat favorable 23% 20% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 20% 19% 0%
Very unfavorable 20% 27% 100%
No opinion 13% 20% 0%
Never heard of 1% 5% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 13% 14% 20%
Somewhat favorable 24% 20% 19%
Somewhat unfavorable 17% 15% 25%
Very unfavorable 21% 26% 26%
No opinion 19% 22% 10%
Never heard of 6% 2% 1%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 14% 3% 22%
Somewhat favorable 13% 13% 34%
Somewhat unfavorable 20% 30% 15%
Very unfavorable 37% 24% 10%
No opinion 15% 28% 14%
Never heard of 2% 2% 5%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 20% 7% 8% 8%
Somewhat favorable 21% 22% 14% 38%
Somewhat unfavorable 18% 19% 31% 9%
Very unfavorable 22% 25% 29% 30%
No opinion 15% 25% 16% 12%
Never heard of 4% 2% 2% 2%

2.14 China Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 3% 11% 3% 1%
Somewhat favorable 17% 15% 7% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 22% 19% 28% 23%
Very unfavorable 24% 30% 44% 66%
No opinion 34% 24% 18% 9%
Never heard of 0% 1% 0% 2%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 4% 0% 14% 31%
Somewhat favorable 11% 7% 16% 12%
Somewhat unfavorable 18% 29% 12% 28%
Very unfavorable 32% 45% 43% 29%
No opinion 33% 18% 15% 0%
Never heard of 2% 0% 0% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 6% 5% 0%
Somewhat favorable 11% 10% 0%
Somewhat unfavorable 23% 22% 0%
Very unfavorable 47% 34% 0%
No opinion 13% 29% 100%
Never heard of 0% 1% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 3% 1% 11%
Somewhat favorable 5% 9% 16%
Somewhat unfavorable 18% 24% 28%
Very unfavorable 45% 42% 33%
No opinion 29% 22% 12%
Never heard of 1% 1% 0%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 9% 2% 3%
Somewhat favorable 15% 9% 5%
Somewhat unfavorable 26% 25% 18%
Very unfavorable 27% 22% 61%
No opinion 22% 42% 11%
Never heard of 0% 0% 1%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 6% 10% 3% 0%
Somewhat favorable 10% 8% 13% 11%
Somewhat unfavorable 23% 28% 27% 10%
Very unfavorable 43% 15% 36% 55%
No opinion 18% 39% 21% 23%
Never heard of 1% 0% 0% 2%

2.15 Disney Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very favorable 36% 32% 22% 19%
Somewhat favorable 21% 33% 30% 25%
Somewhat unfavorable 21% 13% 23% 13%
Very unfavorable 13% 12% 14% 34%
No opinion 8% 9% 11% 9%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very favorable 25% 22% 42% 41%
Somewhat favorable 29% 28% 24% 31%
Somewhat unfavorable 18% 18% 13% 13%
Very unfavorable 12% 23% 19% 9%
No opinion 15% 8% 3% 5%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very favorable 29% 27% 0%
Somewhat favorable 28% 28% 12%
Somewhat unfavorable 17% 16% 51%
Very unfavorable 18% 17% 37%
No opinion 8% 11% 0%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very favorable 23% 16% 42%
Somewhat favorable 28% 31% 26%
Somewhat unfavorable 22% 15% 14%
Very unfavorable 18% 23% 14%
No opinion 9% 16% 4%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very favorable 43% 17% 16%
Somewhat favorable 34% 22% 24%
Somewhat unfavorable 10% 23% 22%
Very unfavorable 4% 15% 34%
No opinion 9% 23% 4%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very favorable 28% 25% 27% 30%
Somewhat favorable 30% 32% 21% 26%
Somewhat unfavorable 20% 18% 13% 6%
Very unfavorable 15% 8% 28% 28%
No opinion 7% 17% 11% 9%
Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0%


3 Trust to Handle Economy

Which party do you trust more to handle the economy? (N = 701)
Response Percent
Democrats 33%
Republicans 39%
Neither 21%
Unsure 8%

3.1 Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Democrats 30% 35% 27% 38%
Republicans 38% 33% 39% 48%
Neither 18% 25% 25% 13%
Unsure 14% 7% 9% 1%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Democrats 26% 26% 57% 53%
Republicans 31% 49% 31% 26%
Neither 30% 19% 12% 16%
Unsure 13% 6% 1% 6%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Democrats 35% 31% 51%
Republicans 42% 35% 0%
Neither 19% 23% 49%
Unsure 4% 11% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Democrats 19% 32% 48%
Republicans 45% 39% 31%
Neither 23% 23% 17%
Unsure 12% 6% 4%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Democrats 67% 9% 4%
Republicans 8% 16% 83%
Neither 18% 54% 11%
Unsure 7% 21% 3%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Democrats 32% 44% 27% 36%
Republicans 44% 15% 32% 47%
Neither 19% 31% 28% 10%
Unsure 5% 10% 14% 7%


4 Support for Democracy

To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement?Sometimes the democratic process needs to be set aside in order to get important things done. (N = 701)
Response Percent
Strongly agree 24%
Somewhat agree 28%
Somewhat disagree 15%
Strongly disagree 19%
Not sure 14%

4.1 Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Strongly agree 17% 32% 27% 13%
Somewhat agree 32% 31% 31% 17%
Somewhat disagree 17% 13% 12% 22%
Strongly disagree 7% 11% 19% 40%
Not sure 27% 13% 10% 9%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Strongly agree 22% 21% 28% 42%
Somewhat agree 28% 28% 28% 30%
Somewhat disagree 15% 18% 11% 12%
Strongly disagree 14% 21% 24% 11%
Not sure 21% 13% 9% 5%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Strongly agree 25% 23% 0%
Somewhat agree 28% 28% 0%
Somewhat disagree 16% 14% 0%
Strongly disagree 24% 13% 88%
Not sure 6% 22% 12%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Strongly agree 26% 19% 25%
Somewhat agree 31% 26% 26%
Somewhat disagree 11% 16% 20%
Strongly disagree 12% 25% 21%
Not sure 20% 14% 8%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Strongly agree 20% 12% 33%
Somewhat agree 28% 24% 30%
Somewhat disagree 17% 17% 12%
Strongly disagree 19% 14% 20%
Not sure 15% 33% 5%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Strongly agree 25% 21% 24% 18%
Somewhat agree 25% 30% 37% 27%
Somewhat disagree 14% 19% 15% 22%
Strongly disagree 24% 10% 9% 17%
Not sure 12% 19% 15% 16%


5 Democratic Party Ideology

Where would you place the Democratic Party on a scale from very liberal to very conservative? (N = 701)
Response Percent
Very liberal 27%
Liberal 18%
Somewhat liberal 16%
Moderate or middle of the road 24%
Somewhat conservative 4%
Conservative 5%
Very conservative 5%

5.1 Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very liberal 23% 20% 34% 34%
Liberal 10% 19% 13% 29%
Somewhat liberal 23% 11% 20% 15%
Moderate or middle of the road 29% 30% 23% 13%
Somewhat conservative 2% 7% 0% 5%
Conservative 9% 6% 3% 2%
Very conservative 4% 6% 8% 3%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very liberal 20% 30% 33% 24%
Liberal 13% 20% 16% 29%
Somewhat liberal 17% 15% 15% 24%
Moderate or middle of the road 35% 22% 15% 13%
Somewhat conservative 3% 3% 7% 3%
Conservative 6% 4% 10% 2%
Very conservative 5% 6% 4% 6%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very liberal 29% 25% 37%
Liberal 21% 15% 51%
Somewhat liberal 16% 16% 12%
Moderate or middle of the road 20% 28% 0%
Somewhat conservative 2% 5% 0%
Conservative 5% 6% 0%
Very conservative 5% 5% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very liberal 26% 29% 27%
Liberal 16% 19% 19%
Somewhat liberal 12% 15% 22%
Moderate or middle of the road 30% 27% 16%
Somewhat conservative 4% 3% 5%
Conservative 6% 3% 7%
Very conservative 7% 4% 5%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very liberal 15% 21% 44%
Liberal 23% 13% 14%
Somewhat liberal 26% 14% 7%
Moderate or middle of the road 28% 44% 11%
Somewhat conservative 4% 1% 5%
Conservative 2% 6% 9%
Very conservative 2% 0% 11%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very liberal 29% 11% 27% 35%
Liberal 19% 21% 13% 16%
Somewhat liberal 16% 18% 20% 10%
Moderate or middle of the road 19% 40% 26% 36%
Somewhat conservative 3% 6% 6% 2%
Conservative 7% 3% 6% 0%
Very conservative 7% 1% 2% 1%


6 Republican Party Ideology

Where would you place the Republican Party on a scale from very liberal to very conservative? (N = 701)
Response Percent
Very liberal 5%
Liberal 6%
Somewhat liberal 5%
Moderate or middle of the road 21%
Somewhat conservative 12%
Conservative 21%
Very conservative 30%

6.1 Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Very liberal 7% 8% 2% 2%
Liberal 5% 11% 5% 0%
Somewhat liberal 6% 8% 3% 2%
Moderate or middle of the road 26% 25% 22% 9%
Somewhat conservative 12% 9% 15% 16%
Conservative 15% 17% 19% 32%
Very conservative 29% 22% 33% 39%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Very liberal 4% 4% 10% 9%
Liberal 5% 4% 9% 18%
Somewhat liberal 7% 3% 4% 12%
Moderate or middle of the road 31% 16% 19% 10%
Somewhat conservative 10% 14% 12% 12%
Conservative 16% 27% 18% 10%
Very conservative 28% 32% 29% 29%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Very liberal 4% 6% 0%
Liberal 7% 5% 0%
Somewhat liberal 5% 5% 0%
Moderate or middle of the road 17% 25% 0%
Somewhat conservative 14% 10% 37%
Conservative 21% 20% 0%
Very conservative 31% 29% 63%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Very liberal 7% 4% 5%
Liberal 3% 4% 10%
Somewhat liberal 6% 3% 5%
Moderate or middle of the road 28% 23% 11%
Somewhat conservative 9% 11% 17%
Conservative 19% 24% 20%
Very conservative 28% 30% 32%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Very liberal 6% 8% 3%
Liberal 8% 3% 6%
Somewhat liberal 7% 5% 3%
Moderate or middle of the road 15% 49% 15%
Somewhat conservative 6% 9% 20%
Conservative 13% 13% 32%
Very conservative 44% 12% 21%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Very liberal 5% 4% 9% 3%
Liberal 6% 5% 5% 8%
Somewhat liberal 4% 9% 5% 7%
Moderate or middle of the road 17% 30% 30% 17%
Somewhat conservative 13% 7% 12% 13%
Conservative 24% 2% 13% 33%
Very conservative 30% 44% 24% 20%


7 Marijuana Policy Preference

Which comes closer to your view about the use of marijuana by adults? (N = 701)
Response Percent
It should be legal for medical AND recreational use 58%
It should be legal for medical use ONLY 23%
It should NOT be legal 13%
Not sure 5%

7.1 Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
It should be legal for medical AND recreational use 58% 56% 63% 56%
It should be legal for medical use ONLY 24% 23% 24% 23%
It should NOT be legal 6% 16% 11% 18%
Not sure 12% 6% 2% 2%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
It should be legal for medical AND recreational use 60% 59% 55% 50%
It should be legal for medical use ONLY 20% 23% 24% 38%
It should NOT be legal 10% 14% 19% 9%
Not sure 10% 4% 2% 4%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
It should be legal for medical AND recreational use 60% 56% 63%
It should be legal for medical use ONLY 24% 23% 0%
It should NOT be legal 13% 13% 37%
Not sure 3% 8% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
It should be legal for medical AND recreational use 60% 62% 53%
It should be legal for medical use ONLY 19% 20% 30%
It should NOT be legal 11% 13% 16%
Not sure 11% 5% 1%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
It should be legal for medical AND recreational use 64% 52% 54%
It should be legal for medical use ONLY 22% 17% 28%
It should NOT be legal 11% 12% 16%
Not sure 3% 20% 2%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
It should be legal for medical AND recreational use 62% 70% 43% 49%
It should be legal for medical use ONLY 22% 12% 32% 33%
It should NOT be legal 14% 9% 14% 14%
Not sure 3% 9% 12% 4%


8 Abortion Policy Preference

Do you think abortion should be… (N = 701)
Response Percent
Legal in all cases 26%
Legal in most cases 31%
Illegal in most cases 27%
Illegal in all cases 10%
Not sure 5%

8.1 Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Legal in all cases 29% 27% 26% 23%
Legal in most cases 31% 24% 34% 41%
Illegal in most cases 24% 26% 29% 28%
Illegal in all cases 7% 17% 6% 8%
Not sure 9% 6% 6% 0%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Legal in all cases 24% 29% 19% 36%
Legal in most cases 32% 33% 25% 34%
Illegal in most cases 22% 28% 40% 12%
Illegal in all cases 13% 6% 13% 17%
Not sure 10% 4% 2% 0%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Legal in all cases 25% 27% 63%
Legal in most cases 31% 32% 0%
Illegal in most cases 27% 27% 0%
Illegal in all cases 12% 8% 37%
Not sure 5% 6% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Legal in all cases 24% 29% 26%
Legal in most cases 26% 35% 35%
Illegal in most cases 28% 25% 27%
Illegal in all cases 12% 6% 11%
Not sure 10% 4% 1%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Legal in all cases 40% 27% 11%
Legal in most cases 37% 29% 26%
Illegal in most cases 15% 16% 46%
Illegal in all cases 6% 8% 15%
Not sure 2% 20% 2%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Legal in all cases 25% 29% 23% 39%
Legal in most cases 33% 32% 28% 28%
Illegal in most cases 28% 21% 30% 21%
Illegal in all cases 11% 11% 9% 7%
Not sure 4% 7% 10% 5%


9 Gun Policy Preference

Do you favor or oppose stricter gun control laws? (N = 701)
Response Percent
Favor 58%
Oppose 30%
Unsure 11%

9.1 Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Favor 61% 58% 53% 62%
Oppose 26% 29% 32% 36%
Unsure 13% 13% 16% 2%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Favor 56% 58% 60% 74%
Oppose 28% 34% 28% 21%
Unsure 17% 8% 12% 5%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Favor 57% 60% 63%
Oppose 34% 27% 37%
Unsure 10% 13% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Favor 49% 55% 70%
Oppose 35% 33% 23%
Unsure 16% 12% 6%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Favor 81% 55% 35%
Oppose 11% 22% 56%
Unsure 8% 23% 10%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Favor 57% 64% 60% 56%
Oppose 33% 15% 28% 35%
Unsure 10% 20% 11% 9%


10 2024 Republican Nominee Prediction

Who do you think will win the Republican nomination for President in the 2024 general election? (N = 701)
Response Percent
Donald Trump 56%
Ron DeSantis 10%
Mike Pence 8%
Vivek Ramaswamy 3%
Nikki Haley 5%
Chris Christie 6%
Tim Scott 2%
Asa Hutchinson 1%
Other 7%

10.1 Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Donald Trump 52% 51% 55% 67%
Ron DeSantis 14% 9% 10% 8%
Mike Pence 6% 10% 10% 7%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1% 6% 5% 0%
Nikki Haley 10% 4% 5% 4%
Chris Christie 7% 3% 9% 6%
Tim Scott 5% 3% 0% 0%
Asa Hutchinson 0% 3% 0% 0%
Other 5% 9% 5% 7%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Donald Trump 46% 62% 62% 48%
Ron DeSantis 9% 13% 7% 5%
Mike Pence 11% 8% 4% 10%
Vivek Ramaswamy 3% 3% 3% 10%
Nikki Haley 6% 5% 6% 4%
Chris Christie 6% 4% 11% 15%
Tim Scott 3% 1% 4% 0%
Asa Hutchinson 1% 1% 1% 6%
Other 15% 4% 3% 2%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Donald Trump 67% 46% 37%
Ron DeSantis 10% 11% 0%
Mike Pence 6% 10% 0%
Vivek Ramaswamy 3% 4% 0%
Nikki Haley 4% 7% 51%
Chris Christie 5% 8% 12%
Tim Scott 1% 3% 0%
Asa Hutchinson 1% 1% 0%
Other 4% 10% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Donald Trump 54% 56% 58%
Ron DeSantis 11% 9% 10%
Mike Pence 8% 9% 8%
Vivek Ramaswamy 4% 3% 3%
Nikki Haley 6% 5% 5%
Chris Christie 7% 5% 6%
Tim Scott 1% 1% 4%
Asa Hutchinson 1% 1% 2%
Other 8% 10% 4%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Donald Trump 48% 30% 76%
Ron DeSantis 8% 16% 10%
Mike Pence 12% 7% 4%
Vivek Ramaswamy 4% 4% 3%
Nikki Haley 4% 13% 3%
Chris Christie 11% 6% 1%
Tim Scott 2% 1% 2%
Asa Hutchinson 2% 1% 0%
Other 8% 20% 1%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Donald Trump 65% 46% 35% 54%
Ron DeSantis 9% 5% 19% 9%
Mike Pence 6% 13% 9% 14%
Vivek Ramaswamy 3% 5% 6% 2%
Nikki Haley 5% 6% 8% 1%
Chris Christie 5% 7% 7% 14%
Tim Scott 2% 5% 2% 2%
Asa Hutchinson 1% 3% 2% 0%
Other 5% 11% 12% 5%


11 2024 General Election Prediction

Who do you think will be elected U.S. President in 2024? (N = 701)
Response Percent
Donald Trump 45%
Joe Biden 37%
Someone else 19%

11.1 Crosstabs

Age

Response 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+
Donald Trump 44% 47% 45% 42%
Joe Biden 36% 35% 36% 40%
Someone else 20% 18% 19% 18%

Income

Response < $50,000 $50,000-$99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 > $150,000
Donald Trump 42% 51% 39% 35%
Joe Biden 29% 31% 58% 53%
Someone else 29% 18% 3% 12%

Gender

Response Male Female Other
Donald Trump 47% 43% 37%
Joe Biden 39% 34% 63%
Someone else 14% 23% 0%

Education

Response HS or less Some college/2-yr degree 4-yr/post-graduate degree
Donald Trump 55% 44% 34%
Joe Biden 26% 31% 51%
Someone else 18% 24% 15%

Party ID

Response Dem/lean Dem Ind Rep/lean Rep
Donald Trump 20% 28% 81%
Joe Biden 68% 26% 6%
Someone else 13% 46% 13%

Race/Ethnicity

Response White Black Hispanic Other
Donald Trump 50% 33% 34% 48%
Joe Biden 35% 56% 26% 42%
Someone else 15% 12% 40% 11%


12 Survey Details

Verasight collected data for this survey from September 21 - September 26, 2023. The sample consists of 701 United States adults. The sampling criteria for this survey were:
1. U.S. adult (age 18+)

The selection criteria for the final sample were:
1. Passed all data quality assurance checks, outlined below

The data are weighted to match the August 2023 Current Population Survey on age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, and metropolitan status, as well as to population benchmarks of partisanship and 2020 presidential vote. The margin of sampling error, which accounts for the design effect and is calculated using the classical random sampling formula, is +/- 4.8%.

All respondents were recruited from the Verasight Community, which is composed of individuals recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting. All Verasight community members are verified via multi-step authentication, including providing an SMS response from a mobile phone registered with a major U.S. carrier (e.g., no VOIP or internet phones) as well as within-survey technology, including verifying the absence of non-human responses with technologies such as Google reCAPTCHA v3. Those who exhibit low-quality response behaviors over time, such as straight-lining or speeding, are also removed and prohibited from further participation in the community. Verasight Community members receive points for taking surveys that can be redeemed for Venmo or PayPal payments, gift cards, or charitable donations. Respondents are never routed from one survey to another and receive compensation for every invited survey, so there is never an incentive to respond strategically to survey qualification screener questions. To further ensure data quality, the Verasight data team implements a number of post-data collection quality assurance procedures, including confirming that all responses correspond with U.S. IP addresses, confirming no duplicate respondents, verifying the absence of non-human responses, and removing any respondents who failed in-survey attention, speeding, and/or straight-lining checks.

Unmeasured error in this or any other survey may exist. Verasight is a member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research Transparency Initiative.

 
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